Bayesian sinking, between mysteries and theories: now the wreck might reveal the truth
Was it human error, a structural vulnerability, or perhaps a design flaw? Was it the extraordinary force of a sudden and devastating storm, or did someone—hidden behind the shadow of international intelligence agencies—orchestrate the sabotage and rapid sinking of the Bayesian?
The 56-meter superyacht tragically sank on the morning of August 19, 2024, taking with it to the seabed Mike Lynch—controversial computer genius known for his alleged ties with various global intelligence agencies—his daughter Hannah, four friends, and the onboard chef. A disaster that, ever since, has fueled theories, speculation, and questions that no one has yet been able to definitively answer.
The main reason for such uncertainty has so far been the inaccessibility of the wreck itself—an element both crucial and decisive for any thorough investigation. For ten months, the Bayesian remained entombed under about 50 meters of water, lying on the seabed just a few hundred meters off the Sicilian coast of Porticello.
Designed by the renowned naval design firm Ron Holland Design and built by the prestigious Italian shipyard Perini Navi, a global symbol of quality and reliability in yacht construction, the Bayesian has finally been recovered in recent hours, brought to the surface and prepared for transport to the port of Termini Imerese.
Starting tomorrow, once placed on dry dock, experts and technicians will begin a detailed forensic analysis of the wreck. This step will be critical: only through a comprehensive examination will it be possible to determine whether the sinking was the result of natural causes, technical or human error, or a deliberate act.
Only then might the Bayesian shift from being a simple wreck to becoming the corpus delicti, the material object of a potential crime that still remains shrouded in mystery.
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